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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "浙商布局:地缘持续扰动领域 维持定力、修正结构" Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has changed. There is still no talk of canceling th
1、浙商本周(2026-03-09至2026-03-13)行情概况
(1)主要指数:美伊地缘冲突仍未完全止息,布局全球金融领域持续震荡。地缘定力xm平台(2)板块观察:能源加红利反脆弱,持续风偏不彰作用普遍。扰动(3)领域情绪:沪深两市成交金额有所放大。领域(4)资金流向:两融余额略有深化,维持股票型ETF净流出。修正(5)量化“黑科技”:主要指数估值中等偏上。结构
2、浙商本周行情归因
(1)全国政协十四届四次会议闭幕;(2)中国1-2月货物贸易进出口延伸18.3%;(3)中国2月CPI同比上涨1.3%。布局
3、地缘定力下周行情展望
展望后市,持续由于美方多次表态“军事举措即将结束”,扰动全球金融领域危险偏好有所回升,领域xm平台波动较前一周有所收敛;但与此同时,伊朗方面依旧态度强硬且冲突并未中断。综合以上两方面因素,我们认为本轮地缘冲突已经“达峰”,但扰动并未完全停息。在外生性作用有所减弱的状态下,结合原本对于A、H股内生性走势的解析,我们推测后市仍有可能区间波动、窄幅震荡。其中,A股权重指数前期修正充分、当前结构逐渐改良,或在3月中旬以后逐步企稳;部分成长指由于近期出现日线MACD顶背离,加之去年以来涨幅较大,财报季或遭遇业绩压力,从技术结构看或在4月底以后企稳;H股之中,恒生科技前期跌速较快,近期仍有震荡整固、二次制定的要求。以季度视角看,我们依旧看好“系统性慢牛”机会。
配置方面,基于“冲突达峰余威犹在,后市持续区间震荡”的评判,我们提议:择时方面,在领域彻底企稳之前维持方针定力,既不过分悲观、也不盲目乐观,在运营整体弹性的前提下修正行业结构,做到“攻防兼备”。行业方面,我们持续推荐“新旧能源”组合,以新能源(电新)、老能源(电力)作为“进攻之矛”;持续持有对照低位的证券,攻防兼备;同期,我们在防御端进行修正,在此前的银行、石油石化基础上,新增农业、交运,整体起到“反脆弱”的效益。此外,部分中字头股票值得注意,其中位置对照较低且有红利属性的标的是地缘冲突升级时的“压舱石”,另有部分涉及到基建、油运、船舶、港口等的标的则直接受益。
4、危险提示
国内经济修复不及期望;全球地缘政治存在不制定性。
PlatinumThe Death Cross intersection of the EMAs is putting pressure on Platinum
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